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Notes on Specialty Finance

Line chart showing online lender applications rising from 17% in 2020 to 29% in 2025, with text 'Speed is not a bonus. It is the point.' Personal perspective on Federal Reserve 2026 Report data about merchant cash advances and small business financing demand.

I spend my days talking to business owners about financing. So when the Federal Reserve released its 2026 Report on Employer Firms, I read it with one question: does this match what I hear?


It does.


38 percent of small firms applied for financing in the prior 12 months. 8 percent specifically sought merchant cash advances. Online lender applications have risen for five consecutive years, from 17 percent in 2020 to 29 percent in 2025.


The report shows 60 percent of online borrowers paid higher than expected costs. That matters. But when speed equals survival, the calculation changes.


Small businesses are not choosing MCAs because they are cheap. They are choosing them because they are fast. The data just backs up what I see daily.


Source: 2026 Report on Employer Firms, Small Business Credit Survey, Federal Reserve Banks, March 2026. https://www.fedsmallbusiness.org/2026-report-on-employer-firms?utm_source=Reserve-Banks&utm_medium=social&utm_campaign=sbcs-marketing

 
Keys resting on a closing document, the image I keep coming back to when I think about bridge capital for real estate.

I want to talk about my inbox this week because I think it tells a story.


Most of the inbound was real estate. Brokers, flippers, a couple of property managers. I was expecting a normal mix. What I got was a pattern.


Nobody was asking me about a mortgage. They were asking me about something else entirely.


One guy had earnest money due in five days and his usual capital source was slow-walking him. Another had a flip where the closing was locked but the repair money wasn't going to land in time. A property manager was sitting on an accepted offer with a refinance that everyone knew wouldn't close before the seller walked.


When I sat back and looked at all of it together, I realized I wasn't being asked to underwrite anybody's business. I was being asked to beat a clock.


That's a different question than the one most of the lending world is built to answer. The lending world is built around credit. Around long-term solvency. Around whether the operator on the other end of the line is going to pay back over time. That's a fair question and an entire industry exists to answer it.


But the operator who calls me on a Tuesday with a Friday deadline isn't asking that question. He's asking whether the capital can get there in time. The deal is already real. The numbers already work. He's not auditioning for credit. He's racing a clock.


This is what I've come to think of as bridge capital for real estate, at least the version I see most often. It's not really about real estate. It's about timing. The collateral happens to be a deal that's mid-flight, and the question is whether capital can show up before the window closes.


The way I think about it on my end is simpler than people expect. I'm looking at cash flow, not credit. If a business has real, recurring revenue, a future receivable becomes a purchasable asset right now. UCC Article 9 handles the mechanics. The receivable is the asset, the purchase is direct, the filing is public.


That structure is what lets the capital move at the speed the deal needs.

I keep coming back to this lesson. The deals that close aren't always the strongest ones. They're the ones where the capital showed up on time. The strongest deal in the world doesn't matter if the money is a week late.


When the margin lives in the timeline, speed isn't a feature. It's the whole product.

 
Daycare building exterior representing 10 years of growth through merchant cash advance financing

I didn't run this daycare. I witnessed it. Over 10 years, I watched one operator face the same operational gap 10 separate times. Growth and maintenance needs that moved faster than traditional bank cycles.

Each instance was a standalone decision. Not a package. Not a recurring dependency. Just timely capital aligned with daily card volume.


The Pattern: 10 Merchant Cash Advance Decisions

When enrollment surged, I watched her hire teachers immediately. Repayment adjusted naturally when January slowed. When facilities needed repair, she fixed them without draining reserves. When new programs opened, she launched them while keeping operations smooth.


What I Witnessed

The outcome was clear. Nearly 100 children served daily. 20 local jobs created. A trusted community institution. Zero cash flow strain through seasonal swings.

Traditional loans demand fixed payments regardless of revenue fluctuations. This center's enrollment naturally rises and falls. Merchant cash advances matched her rhythm.


The Lesson

The right financing tool isn't about the lowest rate. It's about structural fit. For businesses with steady revenue but irregular timing, alignment enables impact. Growth happens in bursts. Capital should adapt without breaking.


Ten separate decisions. Ten years of steady expansion. One thriving community. I didn't make those calls. She did. But watching them unfold taught me this: the right capital structure at the right moment doesn't just fund growth. It enables legacy.

 

©2026 by Ali Barkhordar.

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